Saying farewell to Mr Bush
By Shadaba Islam
IT’S been a long goodbye, complete with ceremonial smiles and handshakes, long speeches and even longer communiqués hailing transatlantic friendship.
But as he toured across key European states last week for a last hurrah, it was clear: European Union (EU) leaders are waiting impatiently for the end-year departure of President George W. Bush and the election of a new US leader who can implement fresh policies on issues as diverse as Iran, Iraq and the Middle East, climate change and the Doha round of talks on global trade liberalisation.
While Senator Barack Obama is the undisputed favourite among ordinary Europeans, EU policymakers are still undecided on whether they prefer the young and charismatic Democrat presidential hopeful or his Republican rival John McCain.
But although they may disagree on the merits of the two candidates, there is almost universal agreement among EU policy pundits that the next occupant of the White House will inevitably be a better president — and world leader — than the discredited Mr. Bush.
Europe’s relief at the end of the Bush era is not difficult to explain. The last eight years have been especially difficult for the transatlantic relationship, with America and Europe often at loggerheads on an array of vitally important global questions.
The US-led war on Iraq, vociferously opposed by Germany and France but endorsed by Britain, Italy and Spain, created a deep rift not only in EU-US relations but also triggered difficult-to-heal divisions among EU states.
While many EU countries have sent troops to Iraq, officials in Brussels and other EU capitals remain concerned at continuing instability in the country, fearing that the US presence in Iraq is fuelling the rise of religious extremism in many parts of the Muslim world.
EU policymakers are dismayed at Washington’s failure to deliver on efforts to end Middle East violence and fear that American policies in Afghanistan are further aggravating an already messy and increasingly bloody conflict in the country.
While worried about Iran’s nuclear ambitions, EU governments are uneasy about President Bush’s anti-Tehran rhetoric and insist that there can be no military option to end the crisis. EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana will in fact be in Iran on June 14 -15 to urge a resumption of negotiations on nuclear issues.
Europeans are also rattled by Mr. Bush’s demand at a Nato summit in Bucharest in April for Ukraine and Georgia to be put immediately on the path to membership. Many EU governments fear this will needlessly anger Russia which opposes Nato entry for the two states.
Although both French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel are much more pro-American than their predecessors, Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schroeder, their attention is increasingly focused on the man who will succeed Mr. Bush in January 2009.
There are strong hopes the next US president will end years of ‘cowboy diplomacy’ and formulate a more nuanced, mature, reasoned and reasonable view of the world.
Obama, who would be the first black US president, seems the favourite among Europeans. A recent poll in London’s Daily Telegraph showed him with 52 per cent support across five major countries, Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Russia, while McCain received only 15 per cent.
Many Europeans admire Obama’s stated willingness to talk to Iran and other US foes largely shunned by Mr. Bush and also like his promise to wind down US military involvement in Iraq. Obama and McCain both win high marks in Europe for calling for the closing of the Guantanamo military prison where terrorism suspects are held.
Obama and McCain are also both dedicated to the need for American leadership on climate change. They have each accepted some form of limiting greenhouse gas emissions through a cap-and-trade system similar to what Europe has adopted. In addition, the next US Congress will almost certainly pass new legislation requiring greater fuel efficiency — something that the Europeans, through high gasoline taxes, accepted long ago.
Both also realise that the US needs to demonstrate renewed leadership among Western democracies in building a more productive and more equitable partnership with an increasingly assertive and oil-rich Russia.
McCain, however, has aroused criticism in many EU capitals by advocating the creation of a so-called ‘League of Democracies’ that many Europeans fear could cast a fatal blow to the United Nations and also create problems in relations with China and Russia who would be outside the club.
Europeans are especially uneasy at the Republican candidate’s call to punish Russia’s authoritarian tendencies under Vladimir Putin by expelling it from the Group of 8 industrial democracies.
Still, McCain has also won applause in European capitals with his call for a new round of negotiations that could lead to dramatic cuts in US and Russian nuclear arsenals. Europeans are hoping a new strategic arms reduction deal could also help fortify the nuclear non-proliferation treaty.
Obama, meanwhile, has raised some concerns by saying he would seek to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement, covering Canada and Mexico as well as the US, in order to introduce tougher labour standards. Europeans fear that Obama will be similarly restrictive on global trade issues.
Fears of a resurgence of protectionism in the US if Obama becomes president have in fact prompted the EU — and other members of the World Trade Organisation — to try and clinch a long-elusive Doha trade deal by end-July.
Even as they say farewell to Mr. Bush, therefore, EU leaders will be looking ahead to the next US presidential visit — when President Obama or President McCain — will come to Strasbourg in April 2009 to celebrate Nato’s 60th anniversary summit and, hopefully, inject new vitality and warmth into transatlantic relations.
The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Brussels.


Marianne’s latest blues!
By Zafar Masud
MANY western nations have an animal figure on their coat of arms to symbolize what they consider the primeval values of their culture and their history. While a number of Eastern European countries still use the old Byzantine empire escutcheon of a double-headed eagle, Great Britain goes for a lion and a unicorn to express its might and savvy.
President Theodore Roosevelt was never too happy with the bald eagle being the emblem of all that the United States stands for and had wanted the mighty American grizzly to replace the angry-looking bird as the US icon. But Roosevelt did not succeed any further than lending his own first-name diminutive to the grizzly’s toy replica — the Teddy bear!
The French, because they are French, pride themselves for the singular distinction of having a bare-topped lady as their national symbol. She is called Marianne and her bust can be found in town halls through the length and breadth of France. She nevertheless wears a Phrygian bonnet with the words Liberté, Egalité, Fraternité inscribed on the bottom — of the pedestal that is!
In our own times, while the rest of the statuette below the neck has remained pretty much unchanged, Marianne’s face has successively borne the likenesses of many a well-known French beauty, such as Brigitte Bardot, Catherine Deneuve and, currently, former TV star Evelyne Thomas. According to a recent poll by a Parisian weekly magazine a great number of the French go for Carla Sarkozy, the President’s pretty wife, as a suitable candidate for the next Marianne incarnation.
This year, as the French are reminiscing over what had happened on their capital’s streets forty years ago and are re-evaluating the probity of lessons learnt from the cultural revolution, Marianne suddenly finds herself in trouble. Behind her blues is the verdict by a judge in the northern city of Lille granting the annulment of marriage to a man who found out on his wedding night that his bride was not as much of a virgin as she had claimed to be.
“One would have thought that question was settled four decades ago!” says Fabienne Demongeot, a Parisian journalist who works for the France television network. As an angry young woman in May 1968, she hadn’t chickened out while prying loose a cobblestone or two with her own bare hands in a Latin Quarter street to hurl them at the advancing police vans. “All this boils down now to worrying about whether Marianne herself hasn’t lost her virginity!” Fabienne despairs.
But Fabienne is not alone in her despondency. Both Fadela Amara, the French minister for suburbs, and Valérie Létard, the minister for women’s affairs, called the ruling, in turns, “a decree against the emancipation of women” and “a regression of the status of women”. On the other hand, to Alexis Brézet, the editorialist for Le Figaro magazine, “it is as if a shopper was not happy with the article he bought at the supermarket and sent it back complaining that the merchandise was defective.”
But, more significantly, the French are today divided into two distinct camps after law minister Rachida Dati initially defended the verdict. A daughter of North African immigrants, the minister herself has a history of an annulled marriage, though it has nothing to do with virginity or the absence of it.
The Lille affair came to public attention only recently, but the French are far from taking as a joke the judgement which was actually made on the first of April. The court based its verdict on the notion of “breach of contract” between the plaintiff and his bride who was presented to him as “single and chaste”.
To quote from the ruling: “Married life began with a lie which was in contradiction with the reciprocal confidence between the two parties.”
Actually the judge had based the verdict on Article 180 of the French Civil Code that allows a marriage to be declared null and void on account of “error about a person or about the essential qualities of a person.”
Maître Roland Davos, a Parisian lawyer who specialises in marriage and divorce cases, says contrary to the otherwise perfectly understandable feminist outrage, the application by the judge of Article 180 should not be construed as a 180-degree turn by the French judicial system itself. He says in the past two centuries that the legal provision has been applied in court cases; there have been many precedents of marriages being annulled on the grounds of the bridegroom’s impotence, of hiding a previous marriage by either of the parties, or of a past linked to prostitution in the case of a bride.
During a noisy parliamentary session the law minister reminded her critics that following the Lille verdict the annulment was accepted by the bride and the bridegroom both. She warned at the same time: “Tomorrow, we may have more such cases, perhaps even without the agreement of one or both the partners.” She insisted that the ruling needed to be re-examined in a higher court so that there remains no ambiguity in the application of the law. She has the full backing of President Nicolas Sarkozy.
Prime Minister Francois Fillon on his part says he would like to take the case to France's highest court of appeal if necessary to prevent creating a legal precedent for annulling a marriage on the grounds of virginity alone.
But then, the detractors of Article 180 would like the legal text itself to be readapted to modern-day realities according to which, they say, neither divorce nor absence of virginity can be stigmatised any longer.
If the term ‘modern-day realities’ signifies fast-changing social mores, it can also betoken scientific progress. According to an Italian newspaper report, hymenoplasty, an operation that serves to restore virginity, is increasingly in vogue among the immigrant females in Europe who fear they may face a situation akin to the bride’s in the Lille case.
Cheer up, Marianne, there is still hope!
The writer is a journalist based in Paris.

