Pakistan's central bank forecasts upbeat 4pc growth

Published January 15, 2014
- File Photo
- File Photo

KARACHI: Pakistan's central bank on Wednesday estimated economic growth to surge up to four per cent for the current fiscal year, surpassing forecasts by international agencies.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced its forecast in its belated annual report reviewing the fiscal year ended June 30, 2013.

“SBP projects GDP growth in the range of three to four per cent for FY14 which is higher than the IMF's growth forecast of 2.5 to three per cent,” the bank said.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a $6.7 billion loan package for Pakistan in September last year, subject to strict economic reforms, particularly in its troubled energy sector and tax system.

The central bank forecast that the three-year deal should bring stability to the domestic foreign exchange market during the current fiscal year.

In the last fiscal year Pakistan's economy grew at 3.6 per cent, the bank said, and inflation fell to single digits.

But it warned inflation could rise as high as 11 per cent in the current fiscal.

Cash-strapped Pakistan, plagued by a bloody home-grown Taliban insurgency, is battling to get its shaky economy back on track and solve a chronic energy crisis that cripples industry.

Economists say growth needs to be seven per cent to absorb the country's booming population.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Afghan strikes
Updated 26 Dec, 2024

Afghan strikes

The military option has been employed by the govt apparently to signal its unhappiness over the state of affairs with Afghanistan.
Revamping tax policy
26 Dec, 2024

Revamping tax policy

THE tax bureaucracy appears to have convinced the government that it can boost revenues simply by taking harsher...
Betraying women voters
26 Dec, 2024

Betraying women voters

THE ECP’s recent pledge to eliminate the gender gap among voters falls flat in the face of troubling revelations...
Kurram ‘roadmap’
Updated 25 Dec, 2024

Kurram ‘roadmap’

The state must provide ironclad guarantees that the local population will be protected from all forms of terrorism.
Snooping state
25 Dec, 2024

Snooping state

THE state’s attempts to pry into citizens’ internet activities continue apace. The latest in this regard is a...
A welcome first step
25 Dec, 2024

A welcome first step

THE commencement of a dialogue between the PTI and the coalition parties occupying the treasury benches in ...