Oil prices skid as new coronavirus strain fuels demand concerns

Published December 21, 2020
In this file photo, an oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France. — Reuters/File
In this file photo, an oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France. — Reuters/File

Oil prices dropped about three per cent on Monday as a fast-spreading new coronavirus strain that has shut down much of the United Kingdom fuelled worries over a slower recovery in fuel demand amid tighter restrictions in Europe.

Brent crude slid $1.54, or three per cent, to $50.72 a barrel by 0510 GMT after rising 1.5pc and touching its highest since March last Friday.

Explainer: Do new coronavirus strains pose concern for vaccines?

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down $1.42, or 2.9pc, to $47.68 a barrel after also climbing 1.5pc on Friday to its highest level since February.

Monday's declines came after oil prices marked seven straight weeks of gains last week as investors focused on the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines.

“A tougher lockdown in Britain to fight a new strain of coronavirus and travel restrictions in other European countries led funds to unwind their long positions,” said Chiyoki Chen, chief analyst at Sunward Trading, adding that concern over dragging Brexit talks also dented market sentiment.

“Brent may fall below $50 a barrel and WTI may drop below $45 this week as investors want to adjust positions ahead of Christmas holidays,” Chen said.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will chair an emergency response meeting on Monday to discuss international travel and the flow of freight in and out of Britain as Covid-19 cases surged by a record number for one day.

The headache comes as Johnson also seeks to hammer out a final accord on Brexit.

The variant, which officials say is up to 70pc more transmissible than the original, also prompted concerns about a wider spread, forcing several European countries to begin closing their doors to travellers from the United Kingdom.

With progress in vaccine rollouts, money managers had raised their net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to December 15, according to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

“The oil market has been on a bull trend in the past month or so, ignoring negative factors, amid an optimism that a widening vaccine rollout would revive global growth, but investors' rosy expectations for 2021 have suddenly vanished due to a new variant of the virus,” said Kazuhiko Saito, chief analyst at commodities broker Fujitomi Co.

The negative sentiment also overshadowed a weekend deal among US congressional leaders for a $900 billion coronavirus aid package.

Adding to pressure, the oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by eight to 346 in the week to December 18, the highest since May, Baker Hughes said on Friday, as producers keep returning to the wellpad with crude prices trading above $45 a barrel since late November.

Meanwhile, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Saturday that global oil demand was still between 6 and 7 million barrels per day (bpd) below pre-crisis levels.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Military convictions
Updated 22 Dec, 2024

Military convictions

Pakistan’s democracy, still finding its feet, cannot afford such compromises on core democratic values.
Need for talks
22 Dec, 2024

Need for talks

FOR a long time now, the country has been in the grip of relentless political uncertainty, featuring the...
Vulnerable vaccinators
22 Dec, 2024

Vulnerable vaccinators

THE campaign to eradicate polio from Pakistan cannot succeed unless the safety of vaccinators and security personnel...
Strange claim
Updated 21 Dec, 2024

Strange claim

In all likelihood, Pakistan and US will continue to be ‘frenemies'.
Media strangulation
Updated 21 Dec, 2024

Media strangulation

Administration must decide whether it wishes to be remembered as an enabler or an executioner of press freedom.
Israeli rampage
21 Dec, 2024

Israeli rampage

ALONG with the genocide in Gaza, Israel has embarked on a regional rampage, attacking Arab and Muslim states with...