Oil prices fell on Tuesday as recession concerns and worsening Covid-19 outbreaks in China sparked fears of lower fuel demand, outweighing supply worries.

Brent crude fell 31 cents, or 0.3 per cent, to $97.61 a barrel by 0434 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 36 cents, or 0.4pc, to $91.43 a barrel.

Both benchmarks hit their highest since August on Monday amid reports that leaders in China, the world's top crude importer, were weighing an exit from the country's strict Covid-19 restrictions.

However, Chinese health officials over the weekend reaffirmed China's commitment to its strict zero-Covid policy. Also, recent data showed the country's exports and imports unexpectedly contracted in October.

Covid cases sharply escalated in Guangzhou and other major Chinese cities, official data showed on Tuesday. The global manufacturing hub is fighting its worst flare-up ever, testing its ability to avoid a Shanghai-style citywide lockdown.

“I think the rolling lockdowns, not to mention doubling down on zero-Covid over the weekend, are not only roiling the long-positioned oil market but they continue to push back the reopening narrative negatively for oil prices,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

A firmer greenback also weighed on oil prices. Oil is generally priced in US dollars, so a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive to holders of other currencies.

Market participants will be eyeing the US CPI data this week for trading cues, CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said.

“On the back of sticky inflation and rising interest rates in major western countries, oil futures are still pricing in the possibility of a global economic recession,” said Teng.

“This, along with a slowdown in China fuel demand, are reasons for the pull-back in oil futures prices in the past few months.”

But the near-term fundamentals for oil remain bullish, with the focus returning to supply issues, ANZ Research analysts said.

“The market is facing the deadline for European imports of Russian oil before sanctions kick in,” ANZ added.

The European Union ban on Russian oil, imposed in retaliation for Russia's invasion of Ukraine, is set to start on Dec 5 and will be followed by a halt on oil product imports in February. Moscow calls its actions in Ukraine “a special operation”.

US crude oil stocks were expected to have risen by about 1.1 million barrels last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The poll was conducted ahead of reports from the American Petroleum Institute due at 4:30pm ET on Tuesday, and the Energy Information Administration due at 10:30am.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Accessing the RSF

Accessing the RSF

RSF can help catalyse private sector inves­tment encouraging investment flows, build upon institutional partnerships with MDBs, other financial institutions.

Editorial

Madressah oversight
Updated 19 Dec, 2024

Madressah oversight

Bill should be reconsidered and Directorate General of Religious Education, formed to oversee seminaries, should not be rolled back.
Kurram’s misery
19 Dec, 2024

Kurram’s misery

THE unfolding humanitarian crisis in Kurram district, particularly in Parachinar city, has reached alarming...
Hiking gas rates
19 Dec, 2024

Hiking gas rates

IMPLEMENTATION of a new Ogra recommendation to increase the gas prices by an average 8.7pc or Rs142.45 per mmBtu in...
Geopolitical games
Updated 18 Dec, 2024

Geopolitical games

While Assad may be gone — and not many are mourning the end of his brutal rule — Syria’s future does not look promising.
Polio’s toll
18 Dec, 2024

Polio’s toll

MONDAY’s attacks on polio workers in Karak and Bannu that martyred Constable Irfanullah and wounded two ...
Development expenditure
18 Dec, 2024

Development expenditure

PAKISTAN’S infrastructure development woes are wide and deep. The country must annually spend at least 10pc of its...