Bulls rampant at PSX as shares see biggest single-day gain a day after budget

Published June 13, 2024
This screengrab, taken at 12:27pm, shows PSX activity on June 13. — PSX data portal
This screengrab, taken at 12:27pm, shows PSX activity on June 13. — PSX data portal

Bulls returned to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Thursday — a day after the government proposed its budget for FY2024-25 — as shares saw a massive gain of more than 3,400 points in intraday trade.

The KSE-100 index gained 2735.07 points, or 3.75 per cent to stand at 75,579.23 at 12:17pm, the PSX data portal showed. Finally, the index closed at 76,208.16, up by 3,410.73 or 4.69pc, from the previous close of 72,797.43 points.

Mohammed Sohail, chief executive of Topline Securities, attributed the upward trajectory to “no increase in tax on dividend and capital gain [tax] (CGT) for investors in the new budget”.

Furthermore, Sohail noted that that the point increase was “a record high in a single day” for the index.

Raza Jafri, chief executive of EFG Hermes Pakistan, said, “The market is clearly reacting positively to the soft changes to CGT for tax filers, in sharp contrast to the fears in the run-up to the budget.”

“The measures to go after non-tax filers, and to an extent, retailers and real estate, are also being taken positively although risks remain on enforceability,” he added.

On the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) expected reaction to the budget, which was aimed at securing a new bailout, Jafri said it should be “acceptable” to the global lender in its current form.

“The government now needs to hold its nerve and push through with implementation and enforcement,” he stressed.

“Market remained under pressure for the past couple of days for reasons including uncertainties over significant tax measures in the budget amid guidelines from the IMF,” Shahab Farooq, director of research at Next Capital Limited, said.

“On the contrary, the actual budget put those concerns to rest with overall positive impacts of budgetary measures.”

Farooq also expressed confidence that the IMF was “likely to give its consent on the budget, particularly [the] move to enhance documentation of economy by tightening the belt around non-filers and real estate sector”.

He noted that the “outlook for equities market, which was already cheap, has further improved”.

“The market had been battered over the past two weeks on rumours of an increase in CGT and dividends over the last week,” Yousuf M Farooq, director of research at Chase Securities, said, “No such tax increase has been seen in the budget and this is a relief rally.”

“The budget is a continuation of relatively tight monetary policy with a primary surplus target as required by the IMF. Textile stocks are down on moving goods exports from final tax of 1pc to normal tax,” he highlighted, adding that “construction-related stocks are up on increased PSDP allocation and supporting measures for the steel industry”.

“The market was expecting an increase in capital gains tax and so investors had reduced exposure significantly,” said Adnan Sheikh, assistant vice president of Pak Kuwait Investment Company.

Following the budget and the 150 bps policy rate cut on Monday, the market may even witness a record day as “equities are the best option for the medium term”, he added.


Additional input from Reuters

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Strange claim
Updated 21 Dec, 2024

Strange claim

In all likelihood, Pakistan and US will continue to be ‘frenemies'.
Media strangulation
Updated 21 Dec, 2024

Media strangulation

Administration must decide whether it wishes to be remembered as an enabler or an executioner of press freedom.
Israeli rampage
21 Dec, 2024

Israeli rampage

ALONG with the genocide in Gaza, Israel has embarked on a regional rampage, attacking Arab and Muslim states with...
Tax amendments
Updated 20 Dec, 2024

Tax amendments

Bureaucracy gimmicks have not produced results, will not do so in the future.
Cricket breakthrough
20 Dec, 2024

Cricket breakthrough

IT had been made clear to Pakistan that a Champions Trophy without India was not even a distant possibility, even if...
Troubled waters
20 Dec, 2024

Troubled waters

LURCHING from one crisis to the next, the Pakistani state has been consistent in failing its vulnerable citizens....