LONDON: Elements of Fridays global IT outage, which grounded planes and hit services from banking to healthcare, have occurred before and until more contingencies are built into networks, and organisations put better back-up plans in place, it will happen again.

Fridays outage was caused by an update that US cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike pushed to its clients early on Friday morning which conflicted with Microsofts Windows operating system, rendering devices around the world inoperable.

CrowdStrike has one of the largest shares of the highly competitive cybersecurity market that provides such tools, leading some industry analysts to question whether control over such operationally critical software should remain in the hands of just a handful of companies.

But the outage has also raised concerns among experts that many organisations are not well-prepared to implement contingency plans when a single point of failure such as an IT system, or a piece of software within it, goes down.

At the same time there are also more solvable digital disasters looming on the horizon, with perhaps the biggest global IT challenge since the Millennium Bug, the 2038 Problem, just under 14 years away — and, this time, the world is infinitely more dependent on computers.

Its easy to jump at the idea that this is disastrous and therefore suggest there must be a more diverse market and, in an ideal world, thats what wed have, said Ciaran Martin, former head of Britains National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC), part of the country’s GCHQ intelligence agency.

We’re actually good at managing the safety aspects of tech when it comes to cars, trains, planes, and machines. What we’re bad at is then providing services, he added.

Look at what happened to the London health system a few weeks ago — they were hacked, and that led to loads of cancelled operations, which is physically dangerous, he said, referring to a recent ransomware incident which affected Britains National Health Service (NHS).

Organisations need to look around their IT systems, Martin said, and ensure there are enough failsafes and redundancies in those systems to stay operational in the event of an outage.

Fridays outage happened amid a perfect storm, with both Microsoft and CrowdStrike owning huge shares of a market which relies on both of their products.

I’m sure the regulators globally are looking at this. There is limited competition globally for operating systems, for example, and also for the large scale cybersecurity products like the ones CrowdStrike provides, said Nigel Phair, a cybersecurity professor at Australia’s Monash University.

Friday’s outage hit airlines particularly hard, as many scrambled to check in and board passengers who relied upon digital tickets to fly. Some travellers posted photos on social media of hand-written boarding cards provided by airline staff. Others were only able to fly if they had printed out their ticket.

Fridays outage will not be the last time the world is reminded of its dependency on computers and IT products for basic services to function. In about 14 years’ time, the world will be faced with a time-based computer issue similar to the Millennium Bug called the 2038 Problem.

Published in Dawn, July 20th, 2024

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