THIS is with reference to the report ‘Haniyeh killing threatens to topple boiling Middle East cauldron’ (Aug 1). The martyrdom of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, along with the earlier loss of his family members, is profoundly sad, worrisome, abhorrent and unforgivable. The entire Muslim world and all those with any sense of humanity globally have condemned this horrendous attack and are mourning the heartless killing of the most prominent leader of the Gaza Strip who was waging a relentless struggle against Israeli occupation on both political and military fronts.

However, Iran as well as the rest of the Muslim world should not let their emotions drive them to impulsive decisions and actions. It is crucial to avoid giving any pretext to Israel, the United States, or the Western world at large to justify actions that could further harm Iran, just as was the case with Afghanistan post-9/11.

The West’s dislike of Iran does not need any elaboration. Iran’s influence is visible in various countries, including Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Bahrain and Palestine. This extensive network of influence and support has positioned Iran as the number one enemy to the West, particularly to the US and Israel.

The location and timing of the current terrorist attack in Iran clearly aimed at provoking Iran into attacking Israel and US interests, thereby providing a pretext for a robust military response. The prime objectives of such an attack would be to neutralise Iran’s nuclear capabilities, diminish the strength of its armed forces, and cripple its economy to curtail its ability to finance and supply weapons to its proxies across the Middle East.

Those managing the condemnable US-Israel nexus know well that without reducing the military and economic might of Iran, they will never succeed in serving their vested interests; illegitimate interests, one might say. If Iran decides to retaliate, the immediate consequences would likely involve extensive military strikes by Israel and the US, with the conflict escalating rapidly, potentially drawing in regional allies and causing widespread instability.

Conversely, if Iran opts for a diplomatic resolution through the United Nations, it would seek international condemnation of the attack and justice for the violation of its sovereignty. This approach would garner support from several countries, possibly leading to a formal UN inquiry and increased international attention.

Diplomatic efforts might result in the easing of some sanctions against Iran, stabilising its economy and enhancing domestic stability. By choosing diplomacy over conflict, Iran would maintain its regional influence through non-military means and improve its international standing. This path would prevent further destruction and loss of life, fostering gradual improvements in regional stability and potential economic recovery for Iran.

In the current situation, Pakistan may be directly affected. We must undertake proactive diplomacy, leveraging our relations with Iran and the US, as well as optimising the influence we have within the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation.

Qamar Bashir
Islamabad

Published in Dawn, August 3rd, 2024