Consumer inflation eases to 10.3pc in September from 11.1pc in August, official data shows

Published
2
A pakistani vegetable market.—Reuters/file
A pakistani vegetable market.—Reuters/file

ISLAMABAD: Consumer inflation eased to 10.3 per cent in September from 11.1pc a month earlier, mainly due to a sharp slowdown in food inflation, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

The slight deceleration in the inflation rate, measured by the Consumer Price Index, reversed the sharp increase recorded in August, when higher food and energy prices pushed the annual rate to 11.1pc from 9.2pc in July.

The easing was more pronounced in rural areas, where inflation fell to 10.5pc from 12.2pc, while urban inflation edged down to 10.1pc from 10.4pc.

The September reading was also within the Ministry of Finance’s projection of 10pc to 11pc for the month in its Monthly Economic Update and Outlook for September 2026.

However, despite the decline in the annual rate, prices rose 1.3pc month-on-month in September. The annual inflation rate was 5.8pc in September last year.

The easing was largely driven by food prices. Food inflation dropped to 8.1pc in urban areas in September from 12.1pc in August. The decline was much sharper in rural areas, where food inflation fell to 7.7pc from 13.2pc a month earlier.

However, non-food inflation moved in the opposite direction, indicating continued pressure on household expenses. Urban non-food inflation accelerated to 11.5pc from 9.4pc in August, while rural non-food inflation increased to 13.1pc from 11.3pc.

The finance ministry had warned in its September 2026 outlook that inflationary pressures were concentrated in food and energy following the impact of higher global oil prices on domestic energy, transport and food costs.

In August, food, housing and utilities, and transport together contributed 8.2 percentage points, or about three-quarters of headline inflation. Food alone contributed 4.9 percentage points.

The latest data show that the composition of inflation shifted in September. While food inflation slowed sharply, electricity and transport costs continued to rise. Electricity charges increased by 15.28pc from the previous month, while motor fuel prices rose by 10.76pc in urban areas.

At the national level, transport costs increased by 5.75pc during September and were 27.43pc higher than in the same month last year. Housing, water, electricity, gas and fuels increased by 3.05pc during the month and by 12.39pc on an annual basis.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, also eased slightly. It stood at 8.6pc in urban areas in September, compared with 8.8pc in August, while the rural rate declined to 8.1pc from 8.5pc.

Month-on-month increase and decrease: September 2026 from August 2026

Food item Increase Food item Decrease
Onions 39.38pc Tomatoes 27.87pc
Pulse Gram 2.42pc Chicken 7.57pc
Wheat Flour 1.72pc Pulse Moong 3.41pc
Gram Whole 1.10pc Eggs 2.92pc
Wheat 1.00pc Fresh Fruits 2.56pc
Fresh Vegetables 0.87pc Potatoes 2.30pc
Mustard Oil 0.86pc Milk Powder 1.98pc
Pulse Masoor 0.85pc Dessert Preparation 1.92pc
Readymade Food 0.81pc Sugar 1.70pc
Wheat Products 0.70pc Rice 0.70pc
Vegetable Ghee 0.60pc Beans 0.58pc
Tea 0.57pc Pulse Mash 0.43pc
— — Honey 0.42pc
— — Condiments & Spices 0.24pc
— — Besan 0.22pc
Non-food item Increase Non-food item Decrease
Electricity Charges 15.28pc Transport Services 0.75pc
Motor Fuels 11.13pc Textbooks 0.67pc
Liquified Hydrocarbons 7.58pc — —
Medical Tests 1.64pc — —
Doctor Clinic Fee 1.41pc — —
Furniture and Furnishing 1.11pc — —
Plastic Products 0.82pc — —
Marriage Hall Charges 0.78pc — —
Construction Input Items 0.76pc — —
Drugs & Medicines 0.70pc

Year-on-year increase and decrease: September 2026 from September 2025

Food item Increase Food item Decrease
Onions 136.70pc Potatoes 34.47pc
Wheat 37.46pc Sugar 21.82pc
Wheat Flour 34.31pc Chicken 21.31pc
Wheat Products 15.31pc Eggs 19.27pc
Meat 10.13pc Besan 14.29pc
Vegetable Ghee 9.36pc Gram Whole 13.05pc
Sweetmeat 8.81pc Pulse Gram 11.99pc
Dry Fruits 8.06pc Pulse Moong 10.04pc
Milk Fresh 7.67pc Pulse Masoor 10.01pc
Mustard Oil 7.53pc Gur 7.95pc
Fresh Fruits 6.99pc Tomatoes 7.18pc
Fish 6.88pc Beans 3.95pc
Milk Products 6.54pc Honey 1.47pc
— — Condiments & Spices 1.00pc
— — Pulse Mash 0.42pc
Non-food item Increase Non-food item Decrease
Liquified Hydrocarbons 53.98pc Textbooks 3.53pc
Motor Fuels 39.70pc Postal Services 1.43pc
Motor Vehicle Tax 34.32pc — —
Electricity Charges 32.46pc — —
Construction Input Items 18.08pc — —
Personal Effects 16.88pc — —
Solid Fuel 16.45pc — —
Doctor Clinic Fee 15.9
Follow Dawn Business on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

No talks
Updated 17 Oct, 2026

No talks

The government should understand that the PTI’s protest march and its reaction to it will look like nothing more than a storm in a teacup.
Strengthening LGs
17 Oct, 2026

Strengthening LGs

THE ECP has done well to refuse to allow the Punjab administration to push the local government elections to April....
Lesser citizens
17 Oct, 2026

Lesser citizens

FOR decades, discrimination and prejudice have narrowed the space for the country’s minority communities. The HRCP...
Deadly classrooms
Updated 16 Oct, 2026

Deadly classrooms

Parents should not have to become structural engineers to judge whether their children are safe at school.
Diplomatic options
Updated 16 Oct, 2026

Diplomatic options

Regional states know that the alternative to talks — a fully fledged war on both fronts — will bring immeasurable destruction to the Gulf, the Red Sea and the surrounding areas.
Hunger in Pakistan
16 Oct, 2026

Hunger in Pakistan

PAKISTAN’S position as the country most affected by hunger in South Asia is not surprising. An economy battered by...