Recently, thousands of applicants with a master's degree applied to become gardeners and door attendants in the Department of Education in Chakwal. The mushroom growth of colleges and universities across Pakistan has produced a large cohort of young graduates belonging to working class families.
The lacklustre economy, however, has failed to generate employment opportunities for the youth, resulting in an oversupply of the educated unemployed.
Even more troubling is the realisation that job creation is not a priority for the ruling elite.
The misplaced focus on sit-ins, Panama gate, and fatwas on how hard men should hit their wives has created an environment where economic development is no longer on anyone’s agenda.
The fuzzy math behind employment numbers
The under- and unemployment among Pakistani youth appears to be underreported. Consider that the current officially stated unemployment rate rests at under 6 per cent. This represents the fraction of the labour force that is actively looking for work.
These numbers could be misleading for the following reasons:
First, the labour force statistics underreport female workers in Pakistan. Even when some adult women are capable of working, they are excluded from the labour force statistics.
The World Bank considers individuals 15 years and older and are looking for work to be part of the labour force. According to the World Bank, Pakistan’s labour force is estimated at 65 million.
And here lies the problem: With a population estimated at over 196 million, the labour force size is one-third of the population. This is inadequately low when compared with advanced economies where labour force comprises roughly 60 per cent or more of the rapidly aging population.
In Pakistan, over 60 per cent of the population is between 15 and 64 years of age. This would suggest the upper bound for the total labour force to be 117 million rather than 65 million.
Second, how is the government estimating the number of those actively looking for work? The official statistics provide no confidence because of the state’s laissez-faire attitude towards data collection. Remember, Pakistan has not held a Census since 1998.
Thus, as a result, it’s not only the size of the labour force in Pakistan that goes likely underreported, it’s also the number of people actively searching for work.
Its no wonder then that the government reports unemployment rate for 35 to 39 years old at 1.98 per cent. The reported unemployment rate for rural males between 35 and 39 years of age is even worst, resting at a mere 1 per cent.