A dry guava tree near the coal power plant
Coal-fired power plants contribute up to 38 percent of global electricity, according to the World Coal Association . However, after increasing awareness about the environmental impacts of coal, investments in new coal-fired power plants have reduced by 75 percent globally, ushering in a new era in the energy paradigm.
According to a March 2019 ‘Energy Innovation’ report, in the United States, solar and wind energy can replace 74 percent of its coal fleet. By 2025, renewable energy would replace 86 percent of the country’s coal energy. Renewables can provide the same amount of electricity more cheaply, says the report. Plummeting cost of electricity generation from wind and solar has led clean energy to become a low-cost option in many countries worldwide. During May this year, the United Kingdom enjoyed its first week of not using electricity from coal-fired power plants.
This seems to be the new normal, or at least the future most of the world is aspiring towards. In September this year, when thousands marched around the world during the ‘Global Climate Strike’, one of their top demands was “100 percent renewable energy generation and exports.” Protesters called for an end to coal dependency in Australia, Chile, Germany, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Kosovo and even Pakistan.
It’s not just activists who are demanding change.
A new coalition of governments and businesses has formed to protect the planet from the impacts of climate change by phasing out coal. The Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA) as 91 members, including 32 national governments, 25 subnational governments and 34 businesses.
Curiously, at a time when most of the developed world is moving towards renewable energy, Pakistan seems to be relying more heavily on coal-powered energy. According to the Pakistan Economy Survey 2018-2019, the share of coal in the energy mix — which remained stable in single-digit percentages over the last two decades — climbed to 12.7 percent in the 2018.
The PPCA was launched by the UK and Canada in 2017 and aspires to achieve a transition from coal to renewable energy. The coalition believes that a shift from coal power generation to a clean energy mix is vital to limit global temperature rise below two degrees Celsius. This will further contribute to sustainable economic growth and a safer climate.
The PPCA aims to phase out unabated coal-fired electricity generation for the European Union (EU) and Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries by 2030, and for the rest of the world by 2050.
Curiously, at a time when most of the developed world is moving towards renewable energy, Pakistan seems to be relying more heavily on coal-powered energy. According to the Pakistan Economy Survey 2018-2019, the share of coal in the energy mix — which remained stable in single-digit percentages over the last two decades — climbed to 12.7 percent in the 2018.
Vaqar Zakaria, an environmental expert provides one possible explanation. “It’s a 30-year agreement and Pakistan is obliged to pay capacity charges to the power plant, even if it doesn’t produce electricity. It’s a two-part tariff, with a capacity charge and an operating charge.”
On the subject of air pollution and emissions from power plants, Zakaria adds that there are control mechanisms, but in Pakistan “the data on air emissions is not made public.”
While Pakistan’s reliance on coal increased, the share of renewables in the country’s energy mix — which was at 0.3 percent in 2015 — rose to mere 1.1 percent in 2018. Encouragingly, however, five wind energy projects of 246.6 MW capacity were completed in 2018-2019. All the plants are operational now.
WHAT HAPPENS IN PARIS... In 2015, when construction on the Sahiwal Coal Power Project began, the drafting of the Paris Climate Agreement finished. The agreement aimed to strengthen climate action by limiting global temperatures well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to make efforts to limit temperature rise further to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Pakistan ratified the agreement on November 11, 2016.
The Paris Agreement was signed by 197 countries and it required every country to submit a plan of action, also known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) that entailed how every country planned to limit its carbon emissions and fight climate change.
Science is clear on the fact that coal is exacerbating climate change which leads to catastrophic weather events such as glacial lake outburst floods, cyclones and sea intrusion. Why then is the Government of Pakistan venturing into coal?
Pakistan’s NDC stated that the country’s emissions are going to increase four-fold by 2030. The document said that a reduction of up to 20 percent of Pakistan’s projected emissions by 2030 is subject to international support amounting to 40 billion US dollars. This support would be in the form of financial grants, technical assistance, technology development and transfer and capacity building. Similarly, the NDC document mentioned that Pakistan needs approximately seven to 14 billion US dollars annually to adapt to the impacts of climate change.
The document further stated that Pakistan needs to “exploit all its domestic sources of energy, including coal, hydro, wind and solar,” and that exploring nuclear and local coal-based energy in the power sector would be “inevitable” in the future.
GROUND REALITIES